The Federal Open Market Committee has held rates steady since July 2023 after starting to hike in March 2022.
When asked if the Fed made a larger cut because it’s trying to catch up, Powell said the central bank hasn’t fallen behind — instead it’s taking strong measures to avoid falling behind. He suggested that the committee has been patient in making its policy decisions and said he believes that keeping rates higher for longer has benefited the US economy.
Powell added that while the upside risk to inflation has decreased, the downside risk to employment markets has increased. He also indicated that he is encouraged by inflation coming closer to the Fed’s 2 percent target, but said more data will be needed to demonstrate inflation is sustainably within the target range before declaring victory.
The 12 Federal Open Market Committee members were not unanimous in their decision, with Fed Governor Michelle Bowman casting the sole dissenting vote, indicating that she would have preferred a 25 point reduction.
In remarks provided to the Investing News Network (INN), Lauren Saidel-Baker, an economist with ITR Economics, said the cut marks a shift away from a focus on inflation and toward the labor side of the Fed’s dual mandate. In addition, she suggested viewing the cut with an understanding that data from the labor market is a lagging, not a leading indicator.
Dr. Stephen R. Foerster, professor of finance at the Ivey School of Business, said a 50 point cut will provide a more stimulative effect on the American economy, but highlighted the impact won’t be known immediately.
Though some may see a 50 point cut as the Fed scrambling to catch up, Foerster was more pragmatic, telling INN via email that “it would only be in hindsight that we might look back and say the Fed waited too long.”
Ultimately, the cut could be a boon for commodities investors. “Rate cuts often make commodities more attractive on a relative basis. Lower rates lower the cost of carrying inventories which should increase commodity prices,” Foerster said.
In the longer term, Saidel-Baker sees up to 100 points of total cuts between now and the first half of 2025, a viewpoint that’s at odds with the broader market expectation of 200 points.
Precious metals were volatile, with gold peaking during afternoon trading at US$2,599 per ounce; it ultimately retracted and at 4:00 p.m. EDT was down 0.48 percent to US$2,557.16. Likewise, silver saw a sharp gain following the announcement to trade above the US$31 per ounce mark, but ultimately shed 2.04 percent to US$30.05.
Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
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