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Despite some volatility, factors like increasing industrial demand, safe-haven buying from investors and weakening mining supply all came together during the year to support gains in the price.
All told, silver is up nearly 35 percent since the start of 2024, outperforming gold’s 32 percent gain.
Silver began Q4 on a strong note, reaching US$31.37 per ounce on October 1 and climbing to US$32.18 on October 4; it then slipped to US$30.49 on October 9. However, the white metal’s price didn’t remain low for long. It surged to its year-to-date high of US$34.72 on October 22, also reaching its highest level in 12 years.
As November began, the price of silver was again in retreat, trading at US$30.24 by November 15.
Silver faced headwinds following the US presidential election on November 5, losing nearly 5 percent in a single day as some investors fled to interest-bearing assets. However, the metal’s losses were somewhat softened after the US Federal Reserve made a 25 basis point cut to its benchmark rate on November 7.
Silver price, Q4 2024.
Previously, Ukraine had only been allowed to use the missiles to strike targets along the border.
Silver fell to a quarterly low of US$30.11 on November 27, but since then the precious metal has regained some ground. As of December 11, it was trading at US$31.88.
The next Fed meeting is set to run from December 17 to 18. Most analysts expect the central bank to make one last 25 basis point cut before pausing in 2025.
Silver started the year on a low note as its lackluster performance from 2023 carried over.
However, rate cut expectations added momentum to silver at the end of February and the beginning of March, which pushed the price up from the US$22 range to above US$25.
At the time, Peter Krauth, editor of Silver Stock Investor, told the Investing News Network (INN), “Silver also typically lags gold, then catches up and surpasses it. We’re starting to see that happen in spades right now. Since the end of February, gold is up about 15 percent, while silver has been up about 22 percent.”
Krauth also mentioned declining aboveground silver inventories.
“I think there may be 12 to 24 months left before they run out,” he said.
The big news from the second quarter was silver breaking through the US$30 barrier.
The price continued to be fueled by rate cut speculation, but also saw support from industrial segments as demand from India soared. The country imported more silver during the first four months of 2024 than all of 2023.
India is typically known for its strong precious metals jewelry demand, but Silver Institute President and CEO Michael DiRienzo told INN that it was also benefiting from “firmer electrical and electronics demand, thanks to the continued strength in India’s real estate market and rising investment in local infrastructure construction.”
Silver didn’t see much upward momentum through most of the third quarter.
Instead, it saw a significant retreat toward US$26. Still, by the end of the quarter, a Fed rate cut had provided a substantial tailwind for silver, sending it above the US$32 mark by the end of September.
The deal will give First Majestic a 70 percent stake in the Cerro Los Gatos mine in Northern Mexico. The combined entity’s anticipated annual production is 30 million to 32 million silver equivalent ounces.
Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
The white metal reached its highest point for the year in October, breaking through US$34 per ounce on the back of a shifting post-pandemic landscape and geopolitical tensions. However, Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election just a few weeks later buoyed bond yields and the US dollar while weighing on silver and gold.
What will 2025 hold for silver? As the new year approaches, investors are closely watching how Trump’s policies and actions could impact the precious metal, along with supply and demand trends in the space.
Here’s what experts see coming for silver in 2025.
As Trump’s inauguration approaches, speculation is rife about how he could affect the resource industry.
The president-elect ran on a policy of “drill, baby, drill,” and while his focus was largely on oil and gas companies, mining sector participants have taken it as a positive sign for exploration and development.
Current President Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act includes tax credits and deductions for solar projects, and there’s some concern that the incoming administration and the new Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could impose reversals or have the entire act gutted, hurting the solar market.
“Tesla bought SolarCity, which became Tesla Energy. They are an important provider of solar panels. Again, Musk’s new role heading DOGE and obvious close connection to Trump just might help mitigate risks to Tesla and its solar panel/power storage business. If that happens, in whatever form it may take, it could shelter solar panel production and sales in the US to a considerable degree,” Krauth explained via email.
He also noted that Trump’s presidency isn’t without risks and that much uncertainty still remains.
Mind Money CEO Julia Khandoshko also isn’t worried about solar demand in the US.
“Rolling back ESG policies and returning to carbon-based technologies could slow the green energy transition in the US. However, Europe and China, the main drivers of the green transition, remain committed to clean energy, which increases silver demand. Thus, global trends will continue to support silver use in renewable energy technologies,” she told INN.
Industrial segments have been critical for silver demand in recent years.
The institute attributes much of this increase to energy transition sectors, highlighting photovoltaics in particular.
However, these gains are coming alongside flat mine production, which is expected to grow only 1 percent to 837 million ounces during 2024. Once factored in, secondary supply from recycling pushes total supply of silver to 1.03 billion ounces for the year, a considerable gap from the 1.21 billion ounces of total demand.
Both Krauth and Khandoshko think the gap between silver supply and demand will continue.
Krauth suggested that companies have been dipping into aboveground inventories to narrow the gap, which has helped to keep the price of silver from exploding over the past year. “That supply is quickly drying up, so I expect to see renewed upward price pressure since silver miners are unable to grow output,” he told INN.
Khandoshko expressed a similar sentiment, saying demand is likely to keep outpacing supply.
However, she also sees geopolitics and a global macroeconomic situation that could constrain both demand and supply growth in 2025. For example, economic difficulties in Europe and China could slow energy transition demand.
When it comes to supply, Khandoshko told INN that she sees a different scenario.
“These factors limit silver’s growth potential compared to gold, which in turn benefits from its role as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty.”
As silver supply becomes increasingly stressed, experts are eyeing projects that are ramping up.
Krauth said a rising silver price is likely good news for mergers and acquisitions in 2025.
“Higher prices, since they translate into higher share prices, meaning acquirers can use their more valuable shares as a currency to acquire others … I think 2024 will bring deals between mid-tiers and between juniors,” he said.
Krauth added, “The truth is that many mid-tier producers have not been spending on exploration. Something has to give, so I think we’ll see this space heat up.”
Khandoshko and Krauth have similar silver outlooks for 2025, suggesting a possible pullback.
“Due to supply shortages and increasing demand in the coming months, silver is expected to reach US$35. After this, a slight pullback to US$30 would be possible,” Khandoshko said.
However, after that happens she projects another rise, with silver potentially passing US$50.
Krauth was looking for silver to reach US$35 in 2024, which happened in Q4. Looking forward to 2025, he thinks the white metal will revisit that level in the first quarter, with US$40 or more possible later in the year.
However, he suggested that investors should be cautious of wider economic trends affecting silver.
“There is a serious risk of significant correction in the broader markets and of a recession. A broad market selloff could bleed into silver stocks, even if only temporarily,” Krauth said.
In the case of a recession, a lack of industrial demand could create headwinds for silver. Still, Krauth thinks that could be tempered by government stimulus efforts for green energy and infrastructure.
Overall, 2025 could be a significant year for silver investors. However, geopolitical and economic instability may provide headwinds across the resource sector and could stymie silver’s upward momentum.
Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: Prismo Metals is a client of the Investing News Network. This article is not paid-for content.
The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
David Morgan, publisher of the Morgan Report, shared his outlook for silver in 2025 and beyond, saying that the white metal may reach US$40 per ounce next year with the possibility of a blow-off top in 2026 or so.
He also discussed his ongoing concerns about central bank digital currencies, both in the US and globally.
“If you could use one word to define my purpose, the way I see it, it’s ‘freedom.’ I like the silver and the gold, and all the stories behind them and the monetary purposes thereof,” Morgan said.
“But when it gets down to it, the way the system’s going, the amount of gold and silver you have is going to be pretty much meaningless if you do not fit into the social credit system like the Chinese (have).”
Securities Disclosure: I, Charlotte McLeod, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
Silver is often compared to gold due to its importance in jewellery and as a safe-haven investment.
However, silver has many industrial applications too, including in electronics, automobiles and silverware, as well as medicine and photography. Energy transition applications are a growing demand sector for silver too — the metal is valued for its conductive capacity, which makes it particularly useful in the production of photovoltaic panels.
Silver has seen high volatility since then, falling below US$27 in August before pulling back above US$30 the next month.
In late October, the silver price reached its highest point of 2024, moving above US$34 and AU$52. While the metal has since pulled back slightly, the silver price is still holding above US$30 and AU$46.
Market cap: AU$1.36 billion
Share price: AU$4.10
Market cap: AU$158.34 million
Share price: AU$0.99
Andean Silver is a precious metals exploration and development company focused on advancing the Cerro Bayo silver and gold project in Southern Chile. The company took ownership of Cerro Bayo in early 2024.
The land package consists of 70 exploration concessions covering a total of 285 square kilometres and hosts a past-producing mine that was in operation for more than 15 years. It produced 45 million ounces of silver and 650,000 ounces of gold before being placed on care and maintenance in 2022.
The resource includes indicated and inferred quantities of 39 million ounces of silver and 628,000 ounces of gold from 8.2 million tonnes of ore with average grades of 146 g/t silver and 2.4 g/t of gold.
The company said it was engaged in a 12 month exploration strategy and had deployed two drilling rigs to the site. It is focused on growing the Cerro Bayo resource and near-mine drilling targets, as well as making new discoveries.
Market cap: AU$143.26 million
Share price: AU$0.093
Silver Mines is an advanced-stage silver exploration and development company focused on its Bowdens silver project, which is located in Central New South Wales, 26 kilometres east of Mudgee.
Market cap: AU$100.17 million
Share price: AU$0.665
The update was based on a review of historical drill data and re-modelling of the resource. It did not include data from the company’s ongoing inaugural drill program, which encountered high-grade silver in the northwest section of Maverick Springs, an area outside of the existing resource where historic drilling identified grades up to 6,216 g/t silver.
The new claims are to the north and along strike of the established mineralised zone.
The company plans to update the resource again early next year using the data from the drill program, which repeatedly intersected thick, high-grade mineralisation outside the existing resource.
Market cap: AU$96.35 million
Share price: AU$0.20
Unico Metals is focused on assets in Argentina. Its flagship project is Cerro Leon, which consists of two vein fields: the greenfield Conserrat project, in which Unico has an 80 percent stake, and the more advanced Pingüino project.
Under the terms of the deal, Unico was to provide a US$2 million upfront payment, with an additional payment of US$2 million on the publication of a feasibility study and US$8 million on first production from the site.
Securities Disclosure: I, Dean Belder, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
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